Business Cycle Synchronisation in a Currency Union

This paper offers a first systematic evaluation of the evidence on the effects of currency unions on the synchronisation of economic activity. Focusing on Europe, we construct a database of about 3,000 business cycles synchronisation coefficients and their design and estimation characteristics. We find that: (1) synchronisation increased from about 0.4 before the introduction of the euro in 1999 to 0.6 afterwards; (2) this increase occurred in both euro and non-euro countries (larger in former); (3) there is evidence of country-specific publication bias; (4) our differences-in-differences estimates suggest the euro accounted for approximately half of the observed increase in synchronisation.

Projektbeginn: 01.01.2017
Projektende: 01.01.2020

Prof. Dr. Jarko Fidrmuc, Dr. Iikka Korhonen, Prof. Dr. Nauro Campos

Zeppelin University Friedrichshafen
Zeppelin-Lehrstuhl für Internationale Wirtschaftstheorie & -politik (eingerichtet 05 / 2011)

Am Seemooser Horn 20
88045 Friedrichshafen

Telefon: +49 7541 6009-1241
Fax: +49 7541 6009-1299
Email: jarko.fidrmuc@zu.de
http://www.zeppelin-university.de/deutsch/lehrstuehle/internationales_management/internationales_management_profil.php